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Viking Holdings Ltd VIK 86.16 -5.01 -5.5%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $86.35
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.6% ±$1.43 $84.93 – $87.78 $84.64 – $88.06 $83.29 – $89.41
2 sessions ±2.3% ±$1.98 $84.37 – $88.33 $83.95 – $88.75 $82.08 – $90.63
3 sessions ±2.9% ±$2.50 $83.86 – $88.85 $83.37 – $89.33 $81.04 – $91.66
1 week ±3.7% ±$3.17 $83.18 – $89.52 $82.47 – $90.23 $79.60 – $93.10
2 weeks Earnings ±9.8% ±$8.49 $77.86 – $94.84 $75.87 – $96.83 $68.46 – $104.24
3 weeks Earnings ±10.5% ±$9.09 $77.27 – $95.44 $75.10 – $97.60 $67.25 – $105.45
1 month Earnings ±11.3% ±$9.74 $76.61 – $96.09 $74.26 – $98.44 $65.88 – $106.83
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. VIK reports in 8 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±7.57%
Average actual move
6.59%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 2
Median IV change
-25.76%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 19, 2026 ±7.81% -7.65% 0.98× 46.4% → 30.8%
May 14, 2026 ±7.33% +5.54% 0.76× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →