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Velo3D VELO 4.9 -1.14 -18.87%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 11 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 11, 2026 close · $4.90
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±4.7% ±$0.23 $4.67 – $5.13 $4.62 – $5.18 $4.41 – $5.39
2 sessions ±6.5% ±$0.32 $4.58 – $5.22 $4.51 – $5.29 $4.21 – $5.59
3 sessions ±8.2% ±$0.40 $4.50 – $5.30 $4.42 – $5.38 $4.04 – $5.76
1 week ±10.4% ±$0.51 $4.39 – $5.41 $4.27 – $5.53 $3.81 – $5.99
2 weeks ±14.3% ±$0.70 $4.20 – $5.60 $4.03 – $5.77 $3.40 – $6.40
3 weeks ±17.4% ±$0.85 $4.05 – $5.75 $3.84 – $5.96 $3.10 – $6.70
1 month ±20.5% ±$1.00 $3.90 – $5.90 $3.65 – $6.15 $2.77 – $7.03
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±19.87%
Average actual move
18.87%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 1
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
November 11, 2026 ±19.87% -18.87% 0.95× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →