UVV Moves

Universal Corporation UVV 38.71 -0.7 -1.78%

Previous-day view · Mon Nov 9 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 09, 2026 close · $38.61

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.3% ±$0.50	$38.11 – $39.11	$38.01 – $39.21	$37.53 – $39.69
2 sessions	±1.8% ±$0.70	$37.91 – $39.31	$37.76 – $39.46	$37.10 – $40.12
3 sessions	±2.3% ±$0.88	$37.73 – $39.49	$37.56 – $39.66	$36.74 – $40.48
1 week	±2.9% ±$1.12	$37.49 – $39.73	$37.24 – $39.98	$36.23 – $40.99
2 weeks	±4.1% ±$1.57	$37.04 – $40.18	$36.67 – $40.55	$35.26 – $41.96
3 weeks	±5.0% ±$1.94	$36.67 – $40.55	$36.19 – $41.03	$34.50 – $42.72
1 month	±6.0% ±$2.31	$36.30 – $40.92	$35.72 – $41.50	$33.70 – $43.52

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±5.95%

Average actual move

7.98%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 2

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 09, 2026	±4.97%	-10.72%	2.16×	—
August 07, 2025	±6.92%	-5.25%	0.76×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →