TIGO Moves

Millicom International Cellular S TIGO 79.12 2.03 2.63%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $79.11

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.0% ±$1.57	$77.54 – $80.68	$77.23 – $80.99	$75.74 – $82.48
2 sessions	±2.8% ±$2.18	$76.93 – $81.29	$76.46 – $81.76	$74.40 – $83.82
3 sessions	±3.5% ±$2.75	$76.36 – $81.86	$75.83 – $82.39	$73.25 – $84.97
1 week	±4.4% ±$3.50	$75.61 – $82.61	$74.83 – $83.39	$71.66 – $86.56
2 weeks	±6.2% ±$4.90	$74.21 – $84.01	$73.04 – $85.18	$68.64 – $89.58
3 weeks	±7.7% ±$6.08	$73.03 – $85.19	$71.55 – $86.67	$66.26 – $91.96
1 month	±9.2% ±$7.24	$71.87 – $86.35	$70.08 – $88.14	$63.76 – $94.46

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±7.55%

Average actual move

4.83%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 2

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 12, 2026	±7.90%	+2.08%	0.26×	—
August 07, 2025	±7.20%	+7.59%	1.05×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →