SVM Moves

Silvercorp Metals Inc SVM 9.73 0.83 9.33%

Previous-day view · Mon Nov 9 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 09, 2026 close · $9.73

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.9% ±$0.28	$9.45 – $10.01	$9.39 – $10.07	$9.13 – $10.33
2 sessions	±4.0% ±$0.39	$9.34 – $10.12	$9.26 – $10.20	$8.89 – $10.57
3 sessions	±5.1% ±$0.49	$9.24 – $10.22	$9.14 – $10.32	$8.68 – $10.78
1 week	±6.4% ±$0.63	$9.10 – $10.36	$8.97 – $10.49	$8.40 – $11.06
2 weeks	±9.0% ±$0.88	$8.85 – $10.61	$8.64 – $10.82	$7.86 – $11.60
3 weeks	±11.2% ±$1.09	$8.64 – $10.82	$8.38 – $11.08	$7.43 – $12.03
1 month	±13.3% ±$1.30	$8.43 – $11.03	$8.11 – $11.35	$6.99 – $12.47

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±9.85%

Average actual move

6.43%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-6.17%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 08, 2025	±9.85%	-6.43%	0.65×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →