SUNB Moves

Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB 76.13 -4.6 -5.7%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $76.13

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.4% ±$1.84	$74.29 – $77.97	$73.91 – $78.35	$72.18 – $80.08
2 sessions	±3.4% ±$2.57	$73.56 – $78.70	$73.02 – $79.24	$70.60 – $81.66
3 sessions	±4.2% ±$3.23	$72.90 – $79.36	$72.28 – $79.98	$69.26 – $83.00
1 week	±5.4% ±$4.10	$72.03 – $80.23	$71.11 – $81.15	$67.39 – $84.87
2 weeks	±7.6% ±$5.76	$70.37 – $81.89	$69.01 – $83.25	$63.85 – $88.41
3 weeks	±9.4% ±$7.13	$69.00 – $83.26	$67.27 – $84.99	$61.06 – $91.20
1 month	±11.2% ±$8.49	$67.64 – $84.62	$65.53 – $86.73	$58.13 – $94.13

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. SUNB reports in 34 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±11.40%

Average actual move

5.91%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
September 09, 2026	±11.40%	+5.91%	0.52×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →