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Spire Global SPIR 7.71 -0.67 -8.0%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $7.68
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±3.6% ±$0.28 $7.40 – $7.96 $7.35 – $8.01 $7.09 – $8.27
2 sessions ±5.0% ±$0.38 $7.29 – $8.06 $7.21 – $8.15 $6.85 – $8.51
3 sessions ±6.3% ±$0.48 $7.20 – $8.16 $7.10 – $8.26 $6.65 – $8.71
1 week Earnings ±13.4% ±$1.03 $6.65 – $8.71 $6.40 – $8.96 $5.51 – $9.85
2 weeks Earnings ±15.9% ±$1.22 $6.46 – $8.90 $6.17 – $9.19 $5.10 – $10.26
3 weeks Earnings ±18.0% ±$1.38 $6.30 – $9.06 $5.97 – $9.39 $4.77 – $10.59
1 month Earnings ±20.1% ±$1.55 $6.13 – $9.23 $5.76 – $9.60 $4.42 – $10.93
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. SPIR reports in 4 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±14.37%
Average actual move
6.34%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 3
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 13, 2026 ±16.28% -5.43% 0.33× —
March 18, 2026 ±13.15% -0.92% 0.07× —
May 15, 2025 ±13.69% +12.68% 0.93× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →