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Star Bulk Carriers Corp SBLK 26.5 -0.7 -2.57%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $26.59
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.1% ±$0.56 $26.02 – $27.15 $25.91 – $27.27 $25.38 – $27.80
2 sessions ±3.0% ±$0.78 $25.80 – $27.37 $25.64 – $27.54 $24.90 – $28.28
3 sessions ±3.7% ±$0.98 $25.60 – $27.57 $25.41 – $27.77 $24.48 – $28.69
1 week ±4.7% ±$1.25 $25.33 – $27.84 $25.05 – $28.12 $23.91 – $29.26
2 weeks ±6.6% ±$1.76 $24.83 – $28.35 $24.41 – $28.76 $22.83 – $30.34
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. SBLK reports in 10 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±5.22%
Average actual move
4.01%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 3
Median IV change
-19.04%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 07, 2025 ±4.83% -0.94% 0.19× 38.4% → 31.1%
May 15, 2025 ±5.18% +2.38% 0.46× —
February 19, 2025 ±5.64% -8.72% 1.55× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →