SBET Moves

Sharplink SBET 6.42 -0.73 -10.21%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $6.36

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.5% ±$0.23	$6.14 – $6.59	$6.09 – $6.63	$5.88 – $6.84
2 sessions Earnings	±11.2% ±$0.72	$5.65 – $7.08	$5.48 – $7.25	$4.82 – $7.91
3 sessions Earnings	±12.2% ±$0.78	$5.59 – $7.14	$5.41 – $7.32	$4.70 – $8.03
1 week Earnings	±13.4% ±$0.86	$5.51 – $7.22	$5.30 – $7.43	$4.56 – $8.16
2 weeks Earnings	±15.8% ±$1.01	$5.35 – $7.37	$5.12 – $7.61	$4.24 – $8.49
3 weeks Earnings	±17.8% ±$1.14	$5.23 – $7.50	$4.96 – $7.77	$3.98 – $8.75
1 month Earnings	±19.9% ±$1.27	$5.10 – $7.63	$4.79 – $7.93	$3.70 – $9.02

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. SBET reports in 2 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±10.33%

Average actual move

9.90%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 2

Median IV change

-1.85%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 11, 2026	±10.48%	+4.30%	0.41×	—
August 15, 2025	±10.17%	-15.50%	1.52×	151.4% → 148.6%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →