RS Moves

Reliance RS 414.04 -27.91 -6.32%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $414.04

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.4% ±$5.63	$408.41 – $419.67	$407.29 – $420.79	$401.95 – $426.13
2 sessions	±1.9% ±$7.83	$406.21 – $421.87	$404.52 – $423.56	$397.15 – $430.93
3 sessions	±2.4% ±$9.85	$404.19 – $423.89	$402.28 – $425.80	$393.01 – $435.07
1 week	±3.0% ±$12.55	$401.49 – $426.59	$398.68 – $429.40	$387.29 – $440.79
2 weeks	±4.3% ±$17.60	$396.44 – $431.64	$392.26 – $435.82	$376.49 – $451.59
3 weeks	±5.1% ±$21.07	$392.97 – $435.11	$387.83 – $440.25	$369.49 – $458.59
1 month	±5.9% ±$24.43	$389.61 – $438.47	$383.57 – $444.51	$362.29 – $465.80

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±5.17%

Average actual move

2.72%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-17.04%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 19, 2026	±5.17%	-2.72%	0.53×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →