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Riot Platforms RIOT 14.76 -0.61 -3.97%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $15.12
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±7.5% ±$1.12 $13.99 – $16.24 $13.76 – $16.47 $12.70 – $17.53
2 sessions ±9.5% ±$1.44 $13.68 – $16.55 $13.38 – $16.85 $12.02 – $18.21
3 sessions ±11.6% ±$1.74 $13.37 – $16.86 $13.03 – $17.20 $11.40 – $18.83
1 week ±14.3% ±$2.15 $12.96 – $17.27 $12.48 – $17.75 $10.52 – $19.71
2 weeks ±19.6% ±$2.96 $12.15 – $18.08 $11.45 – $18.78 $8.79 – $21.44
3 weeks ±22.4% ±$3.38 $11.73 – $18.50 $10.90 – $19.33 $7.95 – $22.28
1 month ±24.8% ±$3.74 $11.37 – $18.86 $10.44 – $19.79 $7.17 – $23.06
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±11.24%
Average actual move
8.66%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 7
Median IV change
-4.49%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
November 04, 2026 ±17.83% +9.63% 0.54× —
August 11, 2026 ±13.27% +4.33% 0.33× —
May 01, 2026 ±7.42% +7.31% 0.98× —
March 03, 2026 ±11.14% -6.94% 0.62× —
August 01, 2025 ±8.46% -17.75% 2.10× 89.6% → 89.5%
May 02, 2025 ±8.69% +7.98% 0.92× 97.2% → 79.0%
February 25, 2025 ±11.86% -6.71% 0.57× 111.6% → 106.6%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →