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RH RH 137.43 -7.47 -5.16%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $137.43
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.9% ±$3.94 $133.49 – $141.37 $132.69 – $142.17 $128.95 – $145.91
2 sessions ±4.0% ±$5.50 $131.93 – $142.93 $130.76 – $144.10 $125.58 – $149.28
3 sessions ±5.0% ±$6.91 $130.52 – $144.34 $129.17 – $145.69 $122.70 – $152.16
1 week ±6.4% ±$8.80 $128.63 – $146.23 $126.67 – $148.19 $118.70 – $156.16
2 weeks ±9.0% ±$12.34 $125.09 – $149.77 $122.16 – $152.70 $111.10 – $163.76
3 weeks ±11.1% ±$15.28 $122.15 – $152.71 $118.42 – $156.44 $105.13 – $169.73
1 month ±13.3% ±$18.21 $119.22 – $155.64 $114.70 – $160.16 $98.83 – $176.03
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. RH reports in 25 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±14.47%
Average actual move
12.09%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 6
Median IV change
-45.96%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
September 11, 2026 ±13.02% +0.04% 0.00× —
June 12, 2026 ±14.06% -3.94% 0.28× —
September 12, 2025 ±15.30% -4.60% 0.30× 111.2% → 58.0%
June 13, 2025 ±15.21% +6.93% 0.46× 114.0% → 63.7%
April 03, 2025 ±15.88% -40.09% 2.52× —
December 13, 2024 ±13.36% +16.95% 1.27× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →