RELY Moves

Remitly Global RELY 24.15 -0.49 -1.99%

Previous-day view · Fri Oct 30 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

October 30, 2026 close · $24.10

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.9% ±$0.46	$23.63 – $24.56	$23.54 – $24.66	$23.09 – $25.10
2 sessions	±2.7% ±$0.65	$23.45 – $24.75	$23.31 – $24.89	$22.70 – $25.50
3 sessions	±3.4% ±$0.81	$23.28 – $24.91	$23.12 – $25.07	$22.36 – $25.84
1 week Earnings	±15.4% ±$3.70	$20.39 – $27.80	$19.49 – $28.70	$16.31 – $31.89
2 weeks Earnings	±16.0% ±$3.86	$20.24 – $27.96	$19.33 – $28.87	$15.96 – $32.24
3 weeks Earnings	±16.6% ±$3.99	$20.10 – $28.09	$19.15 – $29.04	$15.71 – $32.49
1 month Earnings	±17.2% ±$4.14	$19.96 – $28.24	$18.96 – $29.23	$15.39 – $32.80

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. RELY reports in 4 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±15.49%

Average actual move

2.21%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 2

Median IV change

-46.39%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026	±15.07%	-3.96%	0.26×	—
February 20, 2025	±15.92%	-0.46%	0.03×	77.5% → 41.6%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →