QTWO Moves

Q2 Holdings Inc QTWO 67.08 1.8 2.76%

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Expected move

October 30, 2026 close · $67.08

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.1% ±$1.38	$65.70 – $68.46	$65.42 – $68.74	$64.11 – $70.05
2 sessions	±2.9% ±$1.93	$65.15 – $69.01	$64.75 – $69.41	$62.93 – $71.23
3 sessions	±3.6% ±$2.42	$64.66 – $69.50	$64.19 – $69.97	$61.91 – $72.25
1 week	±4.6% ±$3.08	$64.00 – $70.16	$63.31 – $70.85	$60.51 – $73.65
2 weeks	±6.5% ±$4.33	$62.75 – $71.41	$61.73 – $72.43	$57.86 – $76.30
3 weeks	±8.0% ±$5.35	$61.73 – $72.43	$60.42 – $73.74	$55.76 – $78.40
1 month	±9.2% ±$6.18	$60.90 – $73.26	$59.37 – $74.79	$53.98 – $80.18

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±10.34%

Average actual move

4.14%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 2

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 12, 2026	±12.32%	-7.36%	0.60×	—
February 13, 2025	±8.37%	+0.91%	0.11×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →