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POST HOLDINGS POST 81.83 -0.42 -0.51%

Previous-day view · Tue Nov 10 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 10, 2026 close · $81.83
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.0% ±$1.62 $80.21 – $83.45 $79.89 – $83.77 $78.36 – $85.30
2 sessions ±2.8% ±$2.25 $79.58 – $84.08 $79.11 – $84.55 $76.98 – $86.68
3 sessions ±3.5% ±$2.83 $79.00 – $84.66 $78.45 – $85.21 $75.80 – $87.86
1 week ±4.4% ±$3.60 $78.23 – $85.43 $77.43 – $86.23 $74.16 – $89.50
2 weeks ±6.2% ±$5.05 $76.78 – $86.88 $75.58 – $88.08 $71.05 – $92.61
3 weeks ±7.6% ±$6.25 $75.58 – $88.08 $74.06 – $89.60 $68.61 – $95.05
1 month ±9.1% ±$7.45 $74.38 – $89.28 $72.53 – $91.13 $66.03 – $97.63
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. POST reports in 8 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±4.68%
Average actual move
2.18%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 3
Median IV change
-42.08%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 08, 2025 ±4.86% +4.92% 1.01× —
May 09, 2025 ±4.51% -0.11% 0.02× 37.6% → 21.8%
November 15, 2024 ±4.69% -1.52% 0.32× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →