PLUG Moves

Plug Power Inc PLUG 1.45 0.1 7.41%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $1.45

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.8% ±$0.06	$1.40 – $1.51	$1.39 – $1.52	$1.33 – $1.57
2 sessions Earnings	±11.6% ±$0.17	$1.28 – $1.62	$1.24 – $1.66	$1.09 – $1.82
3 sessions Earnings	±12.7% ±$0.19	$1.27 – $1.64	$1.22 – $1.68	$1.06 – $1.85
1 week Earnings	±14.1% ±$0.21	$1.25 – $1.66	$1.20 – $1.70	$1.02 – $1.88
2 weeks Earnings	±16.7% ±$0.24	$1.21 – $1.69	$1.15 – $1.75	$0.94 – $1.96
3 weeks Earnings	±18.8% ±$0.27	$1.18 – $1.72	$1.11 – $1.79	$0.88 – $2.03
1 month Earnings	±21.1% ±$0.31	$1.15 – $1.76	$1.07 – $1.83	$0.81 – $2.09

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. PLUG reports in 2 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±19.05%

Average actual move

2.58%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 2

Median IV change

-24.00%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 12, 2026	±22.02%	+1.14%	0.05×	—
November 12, 2024	±16.08%	-4.02%	0.25×	136.2% → 103.5%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →