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Plains GP Holdings PAGP 26.39 -0.54 -2.01%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $26.39
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session Earnings ±1.2% ±$0.31 $26.08 – $26.70 $26.01 – $26.77 $25.72 – $27.06
2 sessions Earnings ±1.6% ±$0.41 $25.98 – $26.80 $25.88 – $26.90 $25.50 – $27.28
3 sessions Earnings ±1.9% ±$0.50 $25.89 – $26.89 $25.77 – $27.01 $25.31 – $27.47
1 week Earnings ±2.4% ±$0.64 $25.75 – $27.03 $25.60 – $27.18 $25.05 – $27.73
2 weeks Earnings ±3.3% ±$0.88 $25.51 – $27.27 $25.30 – $27.48 $24.53 – $28.25
3 weeks Earnings ±4.0% ±$1.06 $25.33 – $27.45 $25.08 – $27.70 $24.16 – $28.62
1 month Earnings ±4.7% ±$1.24 $25.15 – $27.63 $24.85 – $27.93 $23.79 – $28.99
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. PAGP reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±3.56%
Average actual move
1.95%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 4
Median IV change
-8.17%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2026 ±3.17% -1.86% 0.59× —
August 08, 2025 ±4.02% -0.26% 0.06× —
May 09, 2025 ±4.11% -2.74% 0.67× —
November 08, 2024 ±2.92% -2.92% 1.00× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →