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Oxford Industries OXM 30.38 -0.1 -0.33%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $30.38
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.7% ±$0.82 $29.56 – $31.20 $29.39 – $31.37 $28.62 – $32.14
2 sessions ±3.8% ±$1.14 $29.24 – $31.52 $28.99 – $31.77 $27.92 – $32.84
3 sessions ±4.7% ±$1.44 $28.94 – $31.82 $28.66 – $32.10 $27.32 – $33.44
1 week ±6.0% ±$1.83 $28.55 – $32.21 $28.14 – $32.62 $26.49 – $34.27
2 weeks ±8.4% ±$2.57 $27.81 – $32.95 $27.21 – $33.55 $24.91 – $35.85
3 weeks ±10.5% ±$3.18 $27.20 – $33.56 $26.43 – $34.33 $23.66 – $37.10
1 month ±12.5% ±$3.79 $26.59 – $34.17 $25.66 – $35.10 $22.35 – $38.41
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. OXM reports in 24 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±13.17%
Average actual move
16.79%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 4
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
June 11, 2026 ±17.27% -17.01% 0.98× —
September 11, 2025 ±14.79% +27.64% 1.87× —
June 12, 2025 ±10.59% -13.91% 1.31× —
December 12, 2024 ±10.05% -8.61% 0.86× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →