OSK Moves

Oshkosh Corp OSK 134.36 -2.39 -1.75%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $134.38

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.8% ±$2.35	$132.03 – $136.73	$131.56 – $137.20	$129.34 – $139.42
2 sessions	±2.4% ±$3.27	$131.11 – $137.65	$130.42 – $138.34	$127.33 – $141.43
3 sessions	±3.1% ±$4.11	$130.27 – $138.49	$129.46 – $139.30	$125.62 – $143.14
1 week	±3.9% ±$5.23	$129.15 – $139.61	$127.98 – $140.78	$123.23 – $145.53
2 weeks	±5.5% ±$7.34	$127.04 – $141.72	$125.30 – $143.46	$118.71 – $150.05
3 weeks	±6.8% ±$9.10	$125.28 – $143.48	$123.08 – $145.68	$115.16 – $153.60
1 month	±8.1% ±$10.83	$123.55 – $145.21	$120.86 – $147.90	$111.41 – $157.35

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±8.43%

Average actual move

9.86%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 1

Median IV change

-22.09%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2026	±8.43%	-9.86%	1.17×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →