Nokia Corporation NOK 7.46 -0.8 -9.69%
Expected move
November 05, 2026 close · $7.42| Horizon | Expected move | Typical range | 2 in 3 closes | 9 in 10 closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ±4.0% ±$0.29 | $7.13 – $7.71 | $7.07 – $7.77 | $6.79 – $8.05 |
| 2 sessions | ±5.1% ±$0.38 | $7.04 – $7.80 | $6.96 – $7.88 | $6.60 – $8.24 |
| 3 sessions | ±6.3% ±$0.46 | $6.96 – $7.88 | $6.87 – $7.97 | $6.43 – $8.41 |
| 1 week | ±7.8% ±$0.58 | $6.84 – $8.00 | $6.72 – $8.12 | $6.19 – $8.65 |
| 2 weeks | ±9.8% ±$0.72 | $6.70 – $8.14 | $6.52 – $8.32 | $5.87 – $8.97 |
| 3 weeks | ±11.2% ±$0.83 | $6.59 – $8.25 | $6.39 – $8.45 | $5.67 – $9.17 |
| 1 month | ±13.0% ±$0.97 | $6.45 – $8.39 | $6.21 – $8.63 | $5.37 – $9.47 |
Earnings: priced against what happened
Average implied move
±8.79%
Average actual move
7.29%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 7
Median IV change
-21.82%
| Reaction session | Implied | Actual | Used | ATM IV before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 22, 2026 | ±9.19% | -14.81% | 1.61× | — |
| July 23, 2026 | ±12.45% | -5.35% | 0.43× | — |
| April 23, 2026 | ±11.46% | +4.77% | 0.42× | — |
| January 29, 2026 | ±7.55% | -7.77% | 1.03× | — |
| July 24, 2025 | ±5.75% | -3.98% | 0.69× | 42.7% → 33.4% |
| April 24, 2025 | ±7.25% | -8.47% | 1.17× | — |
| January 30, 2025 | ±7.88% | +5.86% | 0.74× | — |