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Stride LRN 79.24 4.19 5.58%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $79.39
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.6% ±$1.30 $78.08 – $80.69 $77.81 – $80.96 $76.58 – $82.19
2 sessions ±2.3% ±$1.81 $77.57 – $81.20 $77.18 – $81.59 $75.46 – $83.31
3 sessions ±2.9% ±$2.28 $77.10 – $81.67 $76.65 – $82.12 $74.51 – $84.26
1 week ±3.7% ±$2.91 $76.47 – $82.30 $75.83 – $82.94 $73.19 – $85.58
2 weeks ±5.1% ±$4.08 $75.30 – $83.47 $74.34 – $84.43 $70.68 – $88.09
3 weeks ±6.3% ±$5.00 $74.38 – $84.39 $73.17 – $85.60 $68.82 – $89.95
1 month ±7.4% ±$5.88 $73.50 – $85.27 $72.04 – $86.73 $66.92 – $91.85
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±12.20%
Average actual move
15.67%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 1
Median IV change
-53.47%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 06, 2025 ±12.20% +15.67% 1.28× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →