LFST Moves

LifeStance Health Group LFST 13.77 0.34 2.53%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $13.80

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.7% ±$0.24	$13.56 – $14.04	$13.51 – $14.08	$13.28 – $14.31
2 sessions	±2.4% ±$0.33	$13.47 – $14.13	$13.39 – $14.20	$13.08 – $14.51
3 sessions	±3.0% ±$0.41	$13.38 – $14.21	$13.30 – $14.29	$12.91 – $14.68
1 week	±3.9% ±$0.53	$13.27 – $14.33	$13.15 – $14.44	$12.67 – $14.93
2 weeks	±5.4% ±$0.74	$13.05 – $14.54	$12.87 – $14.72	$12.21 – $15.39
3 weeks	±6.7% ±$0.92	$12.87 – $14.72	$12.65 – $14.94	$11.85 – $15.75
1 month	±8.0% ±$1.09	$12.70 – $14.89	$12.43 – $15.17	$11.47 – $16.13

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±14.74%

Average actual move

1.03%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 07, 2025	±14.74%	-1.03%	0.07×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →