LECO Moves

Lincoln Electric Holdings Inc LECO 275.35 3.22 1.18%

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Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $276.21

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±1.5% ±$4.22	$271.98 – $280.43	$271.12 – $281.29	$267.12 – $285.29
2 sessions	±2.1% ±$5.88	$270.32 – $282.09	$269.08 – $283.33	$263.53 – $288.88
3 sessions	±2.7% ±$7.40	$268.80 – $283.61	$267.37 – $285.04	$260.43 – $291.98
1 week	±3.4% ±$9.41	$266.79 – $285.62	$264.69 – $287.72	$256.13 – $296.29
2 weeks	±4.8% ±$13.23	$262.98 – $289.44	$259.85 – $292.56	$248.00 – $304.41
3 weeks	±5.7% ±$15.79	$260.41 – $292.00	$256.54 – $295.87	$242.81 – $309.60
1 month	±6.7% ±$18.42	$257.78 – $294.63	$253.20 – $299.21	$237.12 – $315.29

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±5.89%

Average actual move

1.94%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-23.35%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 12, 2026	±5.89%	+1.94%	0.33×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →