KMT Moves

Kennametal Inc KMT 29.1 -1.08 -3.58%

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Expected move

October 30, 2026 close · $28.90

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.9% ±$0.83	$28.07 – $29.73	$27.90 – $29.90	$27.12 – $30.68
2 sessions	±4.0% ±$1.15	$27.74 – $30.05	$27.50 – $30.30	$26.40 – $31.39
3 sessions	±5.0% ±$1.45	$27.44 – $30.35	$27.16 – $30.63	$25.80 – $32.00
1 week	±6.4% ±$1.85	$27.05 – $30.75	$26.63 – $31.16	$24.95 – $32.84
2 weeks	±9.0% ±$2.60	$26.30 – $31.50	$25.68 – $32.11	$23.36 – $34.44
3 weeks	±11.1% ±$3.21	$25.68 – $32.11	$24.90 – $32.90	$22.10 – $35.70

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. KMT reports in 3 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±7.32%

Average actual move

0.30%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2025	±7.32%	-0.30%	0.04×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →