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Kinross Gold Corporation KGC 21.59 0.17 0.79%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $21.59
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.3% ±$0.50 $21.09 – $22.09 $20.99 – $22.19 $20.53 – $22.65
2 sessions ±3.2% ±$0.69 $20.90 – $22.28 $20.75 – $22.43 $20.10 – $23.08
3 sessions ±4.0% ±$0.87 $20.72 – $22.46 $20.55 – $22.63 $19.74 – $23.44
1 week ±5.1% ±$1.11 $20.48 – $22.70 $20.24 – $22.94 $19.23 – $23.95
2 weeks ±7.5% ±$1.61 $19.98 – $23.20 $19.60 – $23.58 $18.16 – $25.02
3 weeks ±8.8% ±$1.90 $19.69 – $23.49 $19.23 – $23.95 $17.58 – $25.60
1 month ±10.1% ±$2.18 $19.41 – $23.77 $18.86 – $24.32 $16.96 – $26.22
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±5.09%
Average actual move
3.46%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 4
Median IV change
-16.58%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
April 30, 2026 ±4.92% +1.27% 0.26× 57.2% → 46.4%
July 31, 2025 ±4.83% +3.76% 0.78× 48.0% → 39.6%
May 07, 2025 ±5.66% +2.70% 0.48× 54.9% → 46.3%
February 13, 2025 ±4.94% -6.09% 1.23× 45.9% → 42.9%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →