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JOYY Inc JOYY 78.74 -1.87 -2.32%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 12 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 12, 2026 close · $78.74
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.9% ±$1.48 $77.26 – $80.22 $76.97 – $80.51 $75.57 – $81.91
2 sessions ±2.6% ±$2.06 $76.68 – $80.80 $76.25 – $81.23 $74.31 – $83.17
3 sessions ±3.3% ±$2.59 $76.15 – $81.33 $75.65 – $81.83 $73.23 – $84.25
1 week ±4.2% ±$3.29 $75.45 – $82.03 $74.72 – $82.76 $71.73 – $85.75
2 weeks ±5.9% ±$4.61 $74.13 – $83.35 $73.03 – $84.45 $68.89 – $88.59
3 weeks ±7.3% ±$5.72 $73.02 – $84.46 $71.63 – $85.85 $66.66 – $90.82
1 month ±8.7% ±$6.81 $71.93 – $85.55 $70.24 – $87.24 $64.30 – $93.18
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. JOYY reports in 5 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±9.11%
Average actual move
2.26%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 1
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
March 11, 2026 ±9.11% +2.26% 0.25× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →