JOBY Moves

Joby Aviation JOBY 5.05 0.2 4.12%

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Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $5.07

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session Earnings	±7.6% ±$0.39	$4.69 – $5.46	$4.59 – $5.56	$4.24 – $5.91
2 sessions Earnings	±8.5% ±$0.43	$4.64 – $5.50	$4.54 – $5.61	$4.14 – $6.01
3 sessions Earnings	±9.4% ±$0.48	$4.60 – $5.55	$4.49 – $5.66	$4.05 – $6.09
1 week Earnings	±10.5% ±$0.54	$4.54 – $5.61	$4.41 – $5.73	$3.96 – $6.19
2 weeks Earnings	±12.6% ±$0.64	$4.43 – $5.71	$4.28 – $5.87	$3.72 – $6.42
3 weeks Earnings	±14.4% ±$0.73	$4.34 – $5.80	$4.17 – $5.98	$3.54 – $6.61
1 month Earnings	±16.2% ±$0.82	$4.25 – $5.89	$4.05 – $6.09	$3.35 – $6.80

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. JOBY reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±10.37%

Average actual move

7.35%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 6

Median IV change

-18.04%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
August 06, 2026	±9.94%	+5.51%	0.55×	98.1% → 79.4%
May 06, 2026	±10.25%	+21.20%	2.07×	—
February 26, 2026	±11.10%	+4.18%	0.38×	—
August 07, 2025	±10.43%	-8.87%	0.85×	96.3% → 84.3%
May 08, 2025	±8.57%	+3.58%	0.42×	76.2% → 62.8%
February 27, 2025	±11.94%	+0.75%	0.06×	94.7% → 77.2%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →