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Jumia Technologies AG JMIA 5.11 -0.32 -5.89%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $5.08
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±3.0% ±$0.16 $4.92 – $5.23 $4.89 – $5.26 $4.75 – $5.40
2 sessions ±4.1% ±$0.21 $4.87 – $5.28 $4.82 – $5.33 $4.62 – $5.53
3 sessions ±5.2% ±$0.26 $4.81 – $5.34 $4.76 – $5.39 $4.51 – $5.64
1 week ±6.6% ±$0.33 $4.74 – $5.41 $4.66 – $5.49 $4.36 – $5.79
2 weeks Earnings ±17.4% ±$0.88 $4.19 – $5.96 $3.99 – $6.16 $3.22 – $6.93
3 weeks Earnings ±18.6% ±$0.94 $4.13 – $6.02 $3.90 – $6.25 $3.09 – $7.06
1 month Earnings ±20.0% ±$1.01 $4.06 – $6.09 $3.81 – $6.34 $2.94 – $7.21
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. JMIA reports in 9 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±15.29%
Average actual move
13.46%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 2
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 12, 2026 ±15.49% +10.15% 0.66× —
May 07, 2026 ±15.08% +16.76% 1.11× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →