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Jabil Inc JBL 258.56 -13.14 -4.84%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $258.56
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.2% ±$5.66 $252.90 – $264.22 $251.73 – $265.39 $246.38 – $270.74
2 sessions ±3.0% ±$7.89 $250.67 – $266.45 $248.99 – $268.13 $241.55 – $275.57
3 sessions ±3.8% ±$9.93 $248.63 – $268.49 $246.69 – $270.43 $237.41 – $279.71
1 week ±4.9% ±$12.64 $245.92 – $271.20 $243.12 – $274.00 $231.64 – $285.48
2 weeks ±6.9% ±$17.74 $240.82 – $276.30 $236.63 – $280.49 $220.73 – $296.39
3 weeks ±8.5% ±$21.95 $236.61 – $280.51 $231.26 – $285.86 $212.17 – $304.95
1 month ±10.1% ±$26.14 $232.42 – $284.70 $225.93 – $291.19 $203.12 – $314.00
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. JBL reports in 29 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±8.65%
Average actual move
5.14%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 6
Median IV change
-23.69%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
September 30, 2026 ±8.04% -10.03% 1.25× 61.6% → 47.6%
June 17, 2026 ±9.25% -0.14% 0.02× 75.7% → 57.8%
March 18, 2026 ±9.24% -1.40% 0.15× —
June 17, 2025 ±7.80% +8.89% 1.14× 44.6% → 35.3%
March 20, 2025 ±8.42% +3.12% 0.37× 46.5% → 29.5%
December 18, 2024 ±9.11% +7.26% 0.80× 44.9% → 30.0%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →