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Intuitive Surgical Inc ISRG 482.1 41.35 9.38%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $482.00
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.7% ±$8.05 $473.95 – $490.05 $472.36 – $491.64 $464.79 – $499.21
2 sessions ±2.3% ±$11.18 $470.82 – $493.18 $468.46 – $495.54 $457.90 – $506.10
3 sessions ±2.8% ±$13.45 $468.55 – $495.45 $465.95 – $498.05 $453.42 – $510.58
1 week ±3.4% ±$16.39 $465.61 – $498.39 $461.95 – $502.05 $447.06 – $516.95
2 weeks ±4.6% ±$22.32 $459.68 – $504.32 $454.43 – $509.57 $434.43 – $529.57
3 weeks ±5.9% ±$28.63 $453.37 – $510.63 $446.38 – $517.62 $421.46 – $542.54
1 month ±7.0% ±$33.50 $448.50 – $515.50 $440.21 – $523.79 $411.00 – $553.00
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.65%
Average actual move
4.08%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 6
Median IV change
-40.99%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
October 21, 2026 ±7.41% -2.26% 0.30× —
July 17, 2026 ±7.66% -14.15% 1.85× —
January 23, 2026 ±4.92% -0.35% 0.07× —
July 23, 2025 ±6.76% -1.77% 0.26× 44.8% → 26.5%
April 23, 2025 ±7.68% +1.92% 0.25× 57.9% → 38.1%
January 24, 2025 ±5.49% -4.04% 0.74× 42.0% → 21.3%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →