IQV Moves

IQVIA Holdings Inc IQV 264.88 1.09 0.41%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $264.88

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.0% ±$5.38	$259.50 – $270.26	$258.44 – $271.32	$253.36 – $276.40
2 sessions	±2.8% ±$7.47	$257.41 – $272.35	$255.85 – $273.91	$248.78 – $280.98
3 sessions	±3.5% ±$9.40	$255.48 – $274.28	$253.68 – $276.08	$244.88 – $284.88
1 week	±4.5% ±$11.95	$252.93 – $276.83	$250.29 – $279.47	$239.43 – $290.33
2 weeks	±6.3% ±$16.77	$248.11 – $281.65	$244.14 – $285.62	$229.12 – $300.64
3 weeks	±7.6% ±$20.02	$244.86 – $284.90	$239.98 – $289.78	$222.55 – $307.21
1 month	±8.8% ±$23.18	$241.70 – $288.06	$235.96 – $293.80	$215.77 – $313.99

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±9.16%

Average actual move

6.81%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 2

Median IV change

-22.97%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
May 05, 2026	±9.29%	+9.62%	1.04×	—
May 06, 2025	±9.03%	-4.01%	0.44×	64.3% → 49.6%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →