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INSTALLED BUILDING PRODUCTS IBP 212.46 -7.98 -3.62%

Previous-day view · Tue Nov 3 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 03, 2026 close · $212.13
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.0% ±$4.35 $207.78 – $216.48 $206.91 – $217.35 $202.80 – $221.46
2 sessions Earnings ±8.5% ±$17.97 $194.16 – $230.10 $189.75 – $234.51 $173.18 – $251.08
3 sessions Earnings ±9.1% ±$19.22 $192.91 – $231.35 $188.48 – $235.78 $170.89 – $253.37
1 week Earnings ±9.7% ±$20.53 $191.60 – $232.66 $186.65 – $237.61 $168.98 – $255.28
2 weeks Earnings ±10.8% ±$22.97 $189.16 – $235.10 $183.75 – $240.51 $163.68 – $260.58
3 weeks Earnings ±11.8% ±$25.07 $187.06 – $237.20 $181.10 – $243.16 $159.44 – $264.82
1 month Earnings ±12.9% ±$27.30 $184.83 – $239.43 $178.25 – $246.01 $154.71 – $269.55
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. IBP reports in 2 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±8.45%
Average actual move
13.39%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 4
Median IV change
-24.14%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026 ±9.78% -27.57% 2.82× —
August 07, 2025 ±7.34% +20.48% 2.79× —
May 08, 2025 ±8.19% -0.95% 0.12× —
November 07, 2024 ±8.50% -4.58% 0.54× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →