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HUBSPOT HUBS 204.96 -11.68 -5.39%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $205.21
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±3.5% ±$7.20 $198.01 – $212.41 $196.55 – $213.87 $189.74 – $220.68
2 sessions ±4.9% ±$10.03 $195.18 – $215.24 $193.04 – $217.38 $183.58 – $226.84
3 sessions ±6.2% ±$12.64 $192.57 – $217.85 $190.15 – $220.27 $178.31 – $232.11
1 week ±7.8% ±$16.05 $189.16 – $221.26 $185.57 – $224.85 $171.00 – $239.42
2 weeks ±11.0% ±$22.53 $182.68 – $227.74 $177.34 – $233.08 $157.13 – $253.29
3 weeks ±13.0% ±$26.60 $178.61 – $231.81 $172.15 – $238.27 $149.02 – $261.40
1 month ±14.8% ±$30.37 $174.84 – $235.58 $167.29 – $243.13 $140.79 – $269.63
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±11.03%
Average actual move
9.58%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 4
Median IV change
-44.82%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2026 ±15.71% -19.03% 1.21× —
August 07, 2025 ±10.16% -6.24% 0.61× 81.1% → 44.8%
May 09, 2025 ±9.14% -8.68% 0.95× 76.6% → 51.8%
February 13, 2025 ±9.11% +4.36% 0.48× 72.4% → 33.2%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →