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Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc HLT 369.64 -6.89 -1.83%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $369.64
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.3% ±$4.66 $364.98 – $374.30 $364.02 – $375.26 $359.62 – $379.66
2 sessions ±1.8% ±$6.51 $363.13 – $376.15 $361.77 – $377.51 $355.63 – $383.65
3 sessions ±2.2% ±$8.17 $361.47 – $377.81 $359.88 – $379.40 $352.23 – $387.05
1 week ±2.8% ±$10.39 $359.25 – $380.03 $356.92 – $382.36 $347.50 – $391.78
2 weeks ±3.8% ±$14.19 $355.45 – $383.83 $352.08 – $387.20 $339.37 – $399.91
3 weeks ±4.7% ±$17.52 $352.12 – $387.16 $347.87 – $391.41 $332.64 – $406.64
1 month ±5.5% ±$20.40 $349.24 – $390.04 $344.17 – $395.11 $326.36 – $412.92
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±3.97%
Average actual move
2.45%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 3
Median IV change
-23.18%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
October 27, 2026 ±4.23% -2.06% 0.49× —
April 28, 2026 ±4.27% -2.73% 0.64× —
July 23, 2025 ±3.40% -2.55% 0.75× 27.5% → 18.9%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →