GWRE Moves

GUIDEWIRE SOFTWARE GWRE 167.35 -3.27 -1.92%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $167.49

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.2% ±$3.65	$163.84 – $171.14	$163.10 – $171.87	$159.67 – $175.31
2 sessions	±3.0% ±$5.07	$162.41 – $172.56	$161.34 – $173.63	$156.55 – $178.42
3 sessions	±3.8% ±$6.38	$161.11 – $173.87	$159.87 – $175.11	$153.89 – $181.09
1 week	±4.8% ±$8.12	$159.36 – $175.61	$157.55 – $177.42	$150.19 – $184.79
2 weeks	±6.8% ±$11.39	$156.10 – $178.88	$153.38 – $181.59	$143.17 – $191.81
3 weeks	±8.4% ±$14.12	$153.37 – $181.61	$149.93 – $185.04	$137.66 – $197.32
1 month Earnings	±16.7% ±$27.98	$139.50 – $195.47	$132.75 – $202.22	$108.65 – $226.32

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. GWRE reports in 19 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±16.34%

Average actual move

10.00%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-31.87%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
June 05, 2026	±16.34%	-10.00%	0.61×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →