GitLab Inc GTLB 48.99 -3.38 -6.45%
Expected move
November 05, 2026 close · $48.99| Horizon | Expected move | Typical range | 2 in 3 closes | 9 in 10 closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ±2.6% ±$1.28 | $47.71 – $50.27 | $47.45 – $50.53 | $46.23 – $51.75 |
| 2 sessions | ±3.6% ±$1.79 | $47.20 – $50.78 | $46.82 – $51.16 | $45.13 – $52.85 |
| 3 sessions | ±4.6% ±$2.25 | $46.74 – $51.24 | $46.31 – $51.67 | $44.20 – $53.78 |
| 1 week | ±5.8% ±$2.86 | $46.13 – $51.85 | $45.49 – $52.49 | $42.90 – $55.08 |
| 2 weeks | ±8.2% ±$4.01 | $44.98 – $53.00 | $44.02 – $53.96 | $40.43 – $57.55 |
| 3 weeks | ±10.2% ±$4.97 | $44.02 – $53.96 | $42.81 – $55.17 | $38.48 – $59.50 |
| 1 month Earnings | ±18.1% ±$8.88 | $40.11 – $57.87 | $37.97 – $60.01 | $30.32 – $67.66 |
Earnings: priced against what happened
Average implied move
±16.06%
Average actual move
7.35%
Beyond the implied move
0 / 6
Median IV change
-44.06%
| Reaction session | Implied | Actual | Used | ATM IV before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 02, 2026 | ±16.08% | +9.98% | 0.62× | — |
| June 03, 2026 | ±21.37% | -2.80% | 0.13× | — |
| September 04, 2025 | ±15.46% | -7.35% | 0.48× | 103.9% → 54.2% |
| June 11, 2025 | ±12.99% | -10.60% | 0.82× | 89.5% → 53.4% |
| March 04, 2025 | ±14.93% | +11.64% | 0.78× | 113.3% → 76.2% |
| December 06, 2024 | ±15.52% | +1.74% | 0.11× | 108.0% → 45.2% |