GLXY Moves

Galaxy Digital Inc GLXY 13.66 0.68 5.24% Regime: Flow Distribution (91%)

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $13.72

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±5.6% ±$0.77	$12.95 – $14.49	$12.79 – $14.65	$12.06 – $15.38
2 sessions	±7.8% ±$1.08	$12.64 – $14.80	$12.42 – $15.02	$11.40 – $16.04
3 sessions	±9.9% ±$1.36	$12.36 – $15.08	$12.10 – $15.34	$10.83 – $16.61
1 week	±12.6% ±$1.72	$12.00 – $15.44	$11.61 – $15.83	$10.05 – $17.39
2 weeks	±17.0% ±$2.33	$11.39 – $16.05	$10.83 – $16.61	$8.75 – $18.69
3 weeks	±19.8% ±$2.72	$11.00 – $16.44	$10.34 – $17.10	$7.97 – $19.47
1 month	±22.7% ±$3.12	$10.60 – $16.84	$9.83 – $17.61	$7.11 – $20.33

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±12.51%

Average actual move

8.22%

Beyond the implied move

1 / 4

Median IV change

-14.84%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
October 27, 2026	±12.53%	+9.57%	0.76×	117.2% → 99.8%
August 05, 2026	±12.47%	-13.89%	1.11×	—
April 28, 2026	±11.88%	+5.23%	0.44×	109.0% → 99.4%
August 05, 2025	±13.15%	-4.19%	0.32×	123.8% → 90.8%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →