GIL Moves

Gildan Activewear Inc GIL 35.02 -8.25 -19.07%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $35.02

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.0% ±$0.71	$34.31 – $35.73	$34.17 – $35.87	$33.49 – $36.55
2 sessions	±2.8% ±$0.99	$34.03 – $36.01	$33.82 – $36.22	$32.89 – $37.15
3 sessions	±3.6% ±$1.25	$33.77 – $36.27	$33.53 – $36.51	$32.37 – $37.67
1 week	±4.5% ±$1.58	$33.44 – $36.60	$33.08 – $36.96	$31.64 – $38.40
2 weeks	±6.3% ±$2.22	$32.80 – $37.24	$32.27 – $37.77	$30.28 – $39.76
3 weeks	±7.9% ±$2.75	$32.27 – $37.77	$31.60 – $38.44	$29.20 – $40.84
1 month	±9.4% ±$3.28	$31.74 – $38.30	$30.93 – $39.11	$28.07 – $41.97

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±5.68%

Average actual move

3.69%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-25.60%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 19, 2025	±5.68%	+3.69%	0.65×	29.6% → 22.1%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →