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Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV 250.69 8.55 3.53%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $250.73
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.8% ±$4.59 $246.14 – $255.32 $245.21 – $256.25 $240.88 – $260.58
2 sessions ±2.5% ±$6.39 $244.34 – $257.12 $242.98 – $258.48 $236.94 – $264.52
3 sessions ±3.2% ±$8.05 $242.68 – $258.78 $241.13 – $260.33 $233.58 – $267.88
1 week Earnings ±4.6% ±$11.56 $239.17 – $262.29 $236.36 – $265.10 $226.43 – $275.03
2 weeks Earnings ±6.4% ±$15.97 $234.76 – $266.70 $231.00 – $270.46 $217.06 – $284.40
3 weeks Earnings ±7.7% ±$19.28 $231.45 – $270.01 $226.86 – $274.60 $210.21 – $291.25
1 month Earnings ±9.0% ±$22.54 $228.19 – $273.27 $222.77 – $278.69 $203.37 – $298.09
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. FNV reports in 5 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±4.90%
Average actual move
2.02%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 7
Median IV change
-15.51%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 12, 2026 ±6.11% -1.99% 0.33× —
May 13, 2026 ±4.05% +1.60% 0.39× —
March 11, 2026 ±6.76% +1.20% 0.18× —
August 11, 2025 ±3.63% +2.36% 0.65× —
May 09, 2025 ±4.21% +2.41% 0.57× 35.5% → 30.0%
March 10, 2025 ±5.25% +0.23% 0.04× 32.9% → 34.0%
November 07, 2024 ±4.29% -4.37% 1.02× 33.7% → 28.3%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →