FND Moves

Floor & Decor Holdings FND 51.47 -1.94 -3.63%

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Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $51.61

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±2.3% ±$1.20	$50.41 – $52.81	$50.17 – $53.04	$49.04 – $54.17
2 sessions	±3.2% ±$1.66	$49.95 – $53.27	$49.59 – $53.63	$48.02 – $55.20
3 sessions	±4.1% ±$2.09	$49.51 – $53.70	$49.11 – $54.11	$47.15 – $56.07
1 week	±5.2% ±$2.66	$48.95 – $54.27	$48.35 – $54.87	$45.94 – $57.28
2 weeks	±7.2% ±$3.74	$47.87 – $55.35	$46.99 – $56.23	$43.64 – $59.58
3 weeks	±9.0% ±$4.63	$46.98 – $56.24	$45.85 – $57.36	$41.83 – $61.39
1 month	±10.7% ±$5.51	$46.10 – $57.12	$44.72 – $58.49	$39.92 – $63.30

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±6.46%

Average actual move

1.54%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Median IV change

-20.19%

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
February 21, 2025	±6.46%	+1.54%	0.24×	52.8% → 44.3%

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →