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Flutter Entertainment plc FLUT 82.97 1.18 1.44%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $82.27
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.8% ±$2.32 $79.95 – $84.59 $79.49 – $85.05 $77.30 – $87.23
2 sessions ±3.9% ±$3.21 $79.05 – $85.48 $78.36 – $86.17 $75.32 – $89.21
3 sessions ±4.9% ±$4.05 $78.21 – $86.32 $77.43 – $87.10 $73.63 – $90.90
1 week ±6.3% ±$5.15 $77.11 – $87.42 $75.96 – $88.57 $71.28 – $93.25
2 weeks ±8.8% ±$7.23 $75.03 – $89.50 $73.32 – $91.22 $66.83 – $97.70
3 weeks ±10.7% ±$8.77 $73.49 – $91.04 $71.35 – $93.18 $63.71 – $100.83
1 month ±12.5% ±$10.29 $71.97 – $92.56 $69.42 – $95.11 $60.46 – $104.07
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±8.57%
Average actual move
3.64%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 3
Median IV change
-36.76%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026 ±11.86% +2.11% 0.18× 93.2% → 54.9%
August 08, 2025 ±5.88% -8.32% 1.42× —
May 08, 2025 ±7.96% -0.48% 0.06× 62.8% → 39.7%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →