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Fluence Energy FLNC 5.09 -0.96 -15.92%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $5.16
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±3.7% ±$0.20 $4.97 – $5.36 $4.93 – $5.39 $4.75 – $5.58
2 sessions ±5.2% ±$0.27 $4.89 – $5.43 $4.84 – $5.49 $4.58 – $5.74
3 sessions ±6.5% ±$0.34 $4.82 – $5.50 $4.76 – $5.57 $4.44 – $5.88
1 week ±8.3% ±$0.43 $4.73 – $5.59 $4.64 – $5.69 $4.25 – $6.08
2 weeks ±11.7% ±$0.61 $4.56 – $5.77 $4.42 – $5.91 $3.88 – $6.45
3 weeks Earnings ±28.2% ±$1.46 $3.71 – $6.62 $3.36 – $6.96 $2.10 – $8.22
1 month Earnings ±29.6% ±$1.53 $3.64 – $6.69 $3.27 – $7.06 $1.95 – $8.37
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. FLNC reports in 13 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±19.05%
Average actual move
35.23%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 3
Median IV change
-25.26%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 07, 2026 ±22.86% +39.90% 1.75× —
August 12, 2025 ±16.68% -19.37% 1.16× —
February 11, 2025 ±17.60% -46.44% 2.64× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →