Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG 248.53 6.54 2.7%
Expected move
November 04, 2026 close · $248.62| Horizon | Expected move | Typical range | 2 in 3 closes | 9 in 10 closes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next session | ±1.2% ±$2.88 | $245.74 – $251.50 | $245.16 – $252.08 | $242.43 – $254.81 |
| 2 sessions | ±1.6% ±$4.00 | $244.62 – $252.62 | $243.77 – $253.47 | $239.99 – $257.25 |
| 3 sessions Earnings | ±6.3% ±$15.56 | $233.06 – $264.18 | $229.48 – $267.76 | $215.26 – $281.98 |
| 1 week Earnings | ±6.6% ±$16.31 | $232.31 – $264.93 | $228.36 – $268.88 | $214.31 – $282.93 |
| 2 weeks Earnings | ±7.1% ±$17.68 | $230.94 – $266.30 | $226.77 – $270.47 | $211.33 – $285.91 |
| 3 weeks Earnings | ±7.6% ±$18.85 | $229.77 – $267.47 | $225.27 – $271.97 | $208.99 – $288.25 |
| 1 month Earnings | ±8.1% ±$20.14 | $228.48 – $268.76 | $223.63 – $273.61 | $206.28 – $290.96 |
Earnings: priced against what happened
Average implied move
±7.62%
Average actual move
5.88%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 5
Median IV change
-23.45%
| Reaction session | Implied | Actual | Used | ATM IV before → after |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| August 10, 2026 | ±8.18% | +2.76% | 0.34× | — |
| May 05, 2026 | ±7.53% | -3.06% | 0.41× | 54.3% → 39.5% |
| September 16, 2025 | ±8.41% | +7.93% | 0.94× | — |
| March 11, 2025 | ±7.91% | -5.18% | 0.65× | 57.1% → 43.7% |
| December 10, 2024 | ±6.06% | -10.47% | 1.73× | 43.1% → 50.2% |