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FuelCell Energy Inc NEW (DE) FCEL 9.96 1.02 11.48%

Previous-day view · Fri Nov 6 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 06, 2026 close · $9.91
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±4.6% ±$0.46 $9.46 – $10.37 $9.37 – $10.46 $8.94 – $10.89
2 sessions ±6.4% ±$0.64 $9.28 – $10.55 $9.15 – $10.68 $8.55 – $11.28
3 sessions ±8.0% ±$0.80 $9.12 – $10.71 $8.97 – $10.86 $8.22 – $11.61
1 week ±10.2% ±$1.02 $8.90 – $10.93 $8.68 – $11.15 $7.76 – $12.07
2 weeks ±14.3% ±$1.43 $8.49 – $11.34 $8.16 – $11.67 $6.88 – $12.95
3 weeks ±17.7% ±$1.76 $8.16 – $11.67 $7.73 – $12.10 $6.20 – $13.63
1 month ±21.1% ±$2.10 $7.82 – $12.01 $7.30 – $12.53 $5.47 – $14.36
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. FCEL reports in 28 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±15.71%
Average actual move
8.72%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 4
Median IV change
-11.45%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
September 02, 2026 ±12.30% -15.69% 1.28× —
June 08, 2026 ±23.08% -10.56% 0.46× 175.8% → 155.7%
March 11, 2025 ±14.85% +3.63% 0.24× —
December 19, 2024 ±12.63% -4.99% 0.40× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →