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DigitalOcean Holdings DOCN 70.7 -13.32 -15.85%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $70.00
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±6.6% ±$4.59 $65.41 – $74.59 $64.48 – $75.52 $60.14 – $79.86
2 sessions ±8.7% ±$6.10 $63.90 – $76.10 $62.60 – $77.40 $56.83 – $83.17
3 sessions ±10.8% ±$7.57 $62.43 – $77.57 $60.97 – $79.03 $53.89 – $86.11
1 week ±13.6% ±$9.49 $60.51 – $79.49 $58.39 – $81.61 $49.78 – $90.22
2 weeks ±16.8% ±$11.72 $58.27 – $81.72 $55.50 – $84.50 $44.98 – $95.02
3 weeks ±19.4% ±$13.59 $56.41 – $83.59 $53.10 – $86.90 $41.28 – $98.72
1 month ±20.9% ±$14.66 $55.34 – $84.66 $51.70 – $88.30 $38.92 – $101.08
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±15.82%
Average actual move
17.04%
Beyond the implied move
3 / 5
Median IV change
-27.12%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
November 03, 2026 ±15.93% +0.79% 0.05× —
August 04, 2026 ±17.34% +1.35% 0.08× —
May 05, 2026 ±16.04% +40.40% 2.52× —
August 05, 2025 ±16.38% +28.88% 1.76× 117.0% → 101.9%
May 06, 2025 ±13.43% -13.77% 1.02× 97.1% → 70.8%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →