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DraftKings Inc DKNG 23.52 0.41 1.77%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $23.20
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session Earnings ±8.2% ±$1.89 $21.31 – $25.09 $20.83 – $25.57 $19.07 – $27.33
2 sessions Earnings ±8.9% ±$2.07 $21.13 – $25.27 $20.63 – $25.77 $18.72 – $27.68
3 sessions Earnings ±9.6% ±$2.23 $20.97 – $25.43 $20.46 – $25.94 $18.42 – $27.98
1 week Earnings ±10.4% ±$2.41 $20.79 – $25.61 $20.21 – $26.19 $18.14 – $28.26
2 weeks Earnings ±11.9% ±$2.76 $20.44 – $25.96 $19.79 – $26.61 $17.39 – $29.01
3 weeks Earnings ±13.2% ±$3.05 $20.15 – $26.25 $19.43 – $26.97 $16.79 – $29.61
1 month Earnings ±14.5% ±$3.36 $19.84 – $26.56 $19.03 – $27.37 $16.14 – $30.26
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. DKNG reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±9.52%
Average actual move
5.52%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 5
Median IV change
-35.69%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 07, 2026 ±10.31% +8.39% 0.81× —
May 08, 2026 ±9.66% +1.19% 0.12× —
August 07, 2025 ±9.15% -0.35% 0.04× 64.9% → 42.0%
May 09, 2025 ±8.76% +2.49% 0.28× 75.7% → 48.3%
February 14, 2025 ±9.72% +15.16% 1.56× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →