Pre-market
⌘K
Sign in Sign up

Dropbox DBX 35.76 -0.34 -0.94%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $35.05
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session Earnings ±6.6% ±$2.32 $32.73 – $37.37 $32.14 – $37.96 $29.99 – $40.11
2 sessions Earnings ±7.1% ±$2.50 $32.55 – $37.55 $31.93 – $38.17 $29.63 – $40.47
3 sessions Earnings ±7.6% ±$2.67 $32.38 – $37.72 $31.77 – $38.33 $29.33 – $40.77
1 week Earnings ±8.1% ±$2.83 $32.22 – $37.88 $31.54 – $38.56 $29.10 – $41.00
2 weeks Earnings ±8.9% ±$3.13 $31.92 – $38.18 $31.18 – $38.92 $28.44 – $41.66
3 weeks Earnings ±9.7% ±$3.39 $31.66 – $38.44 $30.85 – $39.25 $27.92 – $42.18
1 month Earnings ±10.5% ±$3.67 $31.38 – $38.72 $30.49 – $39.61 $27.33 – $42.77
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. DBX reports in 1 session; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±8.27%
Average actual move
8.66%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 4
Median IV change
-48.00%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
May 08, 2026 ±8.16% +15.00% 1.84× —
August 08, 2025 ±7.16% +2.71% 0.38× 53.8% → 30.0%
May 09, 2025 ±8.34% -0.77% 0.09× 60.1% → 29.0%
February 21, 2025 ±9.41% -16.15% 1.72× —
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →