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Salesforce CRM 227.11 4.91 2.21%

Previous-day view · Wed Nov 4 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 04, 2026 close · $227.15
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±2.0% ±$4.54 $222.61 – $231.69 $221.70 – $232.60 $217.41 – $236.89
2 sessions ±2.8% ±$6.31 $220.84 – $233.46 $219.50 – $234.80 $213.54 – $240.76
3 sessions ±3.5% ±$7.95 $219.20 – $235.10 $217.68 – $236.62 $210.23 – $244.07
1 week ±4.5% ±$10.11 $217.04 – $237.26 $214.79 – $239.51 $205.64 – $248.66
2 weeks ±6.2% ±$14.17 $212.98 – $241.32 $209.61 – $244.69 $196.92 – $257.38
3 weeks ±7.7% ±$17.56 $209.59 – $244.71 $205.32 – $248.98 $190.06 – $264.24
1 month Earnings ±11.3% ±$25.55 $201.60 – $252.70 $195.44 – $258.86 $173.43 – $280.87
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. CRM reports in 20 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±7.84%
Average actual move
8.34%
Beyond the implied move
2 / 5
Median IV change
-38.55%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
August 27, 2026 ±7.14% +22.58% 3.16× —
May 28, 2026 ±8.72% -0.75% 0.09× 68.6% → 44.0%
May 29, 2025 ±7.34% -3.30% 0.45× 52.5% → 30.1%
February 27, 2025 ±8.76% -4.04% 0.46× 59.5% → 35.0%
December 04, 2024 ±7.26% +10.99% 1.52× 47.6% → 33.0%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →