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Cinemark Holdings CNK 40.04 -0.34 -0.84%

Previous-day view · Thu Nov 5 close. You are previewing the previous trading day. Subscribe to see today live and every other date — Trader is $59/mo. Sign up Sign in

Expected move

November 05, 2026 close · $40.04
Horizon Expected move Typical range 2 in 3 closes 9 in 10 closes
Next session ±1.6% ±$0.65 $39.39 – $40.69 $39.26 – $40.82 $38.65 – $41.43
2 sessions ±2.3% ±$0.90 $39.14 – $40.94 $38.94 – $41.14 $38.09 – $41.99
3 sessions ±2.8% ±$1.14 $38.90 – $41.18 $38.68 – $41.40 $37.62 – $42.46
1 week ±3.6% ±$1.45 $38.59 – $41.49 $38.27 – $41.81 $36.96 – $43.12
2 weeks ±5.1% ±$2.03 $38.01 – $42.07 $37.53 – $42.55 $35.71 – $44.37
3 weeks ±6.3% ±$2.51 $37.53 – $42.55 $36.91 – $43.17 $34.73 – $45.35
1 month ±7.5% ±$2.99 $37.05 – $43.03 $36.30 – $43.78 $33.69 – $46.39
Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta
The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move
±6.90%
Average actual move
8.86%
Beyond the implied move
1 / 2
Median IV change
-22.14%
Reaction session Implied Actual Used ATM IV before → after
February 18, 2026 ±7.99% +4.14% 0.52× —
February 19, 2025 ±5.82% -13.58% 2.33× 42.0% → 46.6%
Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →