CLFD Moves

Clearfield CLFD 30.55 1.92 6.71%

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Expected move

November 09, 2026 close · $30.55

Horizon	Expected move	Typical range	2 in 3 closes	9 in 10 closes
Next session	±3.4% ±$1.04	$29.51 – $31.59	$29.30 – $31.80	$28.32 – $32.78
2 sessions	±4.7% ±$1.45	$29.10 – $32.00	$28.80 – $32.30	$27.43 – $33.67
3 sessions	±6.0% ±$1.82	$28.73 – $32.37	$28.38 – $32.72	$26.68 – $34.42
1 week	±7.6% ±$2.31	$28.24 – $32.86	$27.72 – $33.38	$25.63 – $35.47
2 weeks	±10.6% ±$3.24	$27.31 – $33.79	$26.54 – $34.56	$23.63 – $37.47
3 weeks	±13.2% ±$4.02	$26.53 – $34.57	$25.56 – $35.54	$22.06 – $39.04
1 month	±15.7% ±$4.79	$25.76 – $35.34	$24.57 – $36.53	$20.40 – $40.70

Size, not direction. The 68% and 90% bands held 66–68% and 89–90% of closes in held-out years 2019–2026. CLFD reports in 2 sessions; only the horizons marked Earnings include its jump. Draw the cone on the chart →

Volatility premium

Beta

The forecast is for the current session, which this plan does not open.

Earnings: priced against what happened

Average implied move

±13.59%

Average actual move

7.07%

Beyond the implied move

0 / 1

Reaction session	Implied	Actual	Used	ATM IV before → after
November 08, 2024	±13.59%	-7.07%	0.52×	—

Reconstructed from archived mid quotes; the straddle covers its expiration, not only the reaction session. These are not option returns. Method and missing reports →